When Allianz Trade released its first global insolvency forecasts in February, the company was already expecting a strong increase in 2024 (+9%) followed by a stabilisation in 2025. However, recent developments have led to an even grimmer picture, with a +11% rise now forecast for this year, followed by a peak in 2025. Business insolvencies will not stabilise until 2026; even then, they will remain high. In the US, Allianz Trade expects insolvencies to rise by +12% in 2025 before falling by -4% in 2026. In Germany, they will increase by +4% before dropping by -4% in 2026. In France and the UK, they will slightly moderate from very high levels (-6% in 2025 for both vs -3% and -4% in 2026, respectively), while in Italy, they will continue to rise (+4% and +3% respectively). Overall, more than half of the global GDP will be hit by double-digit increases. To read Allianz Trade’s news release, go to https://www.allianz-trade.com/en_global/news-insights/news/insolvency-report-2024.html.